KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore Jul 14, 2026 95%+1.1%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
100 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
2,5 Mio. €
Liquidität
2,8 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
94.6% / 95.3%
Spread
0.7%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
1. Juni 26, 16:1514. Juli 26, 3:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before Jul 14, 202695%
Plattformen vergleichen· Before Jul 14, 2026
Sortiert nach 24h-Volumen
Auch verfügbar auf PredictIt
Will Graham Platner drop out before July 14?
2.0%5T
+2.0%90%
-2.0%10%
Retail prediction exchange
Gesamtvolumen0 €
24h-Volumen0 €
PREDICTIT
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will Graham Platner Drop out of the Maine Senate Race?
3Mon
94.4%
5.6%
Community-Prognose87 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen17.464,1 €
24h-Volumen1652,3 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- “Dropped out” means any of the following: Graham Platner announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign Graham Platner files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities Graham Platner publicly states they are no longer seeking the office Graham Platner endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running Graham Platner is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal
- The following do NOT constitute dropping out: Losing a primary or election Failing to qualify for debates or ballots Temporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing Being eliminated through the normal election process Reducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate
- Key provisions: Once someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter “Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless Graham Platner explicitly states they remain a candidate For primary races, dropping out of the presidential race entirely counts as dropping out of that party’s primary Withdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot
- If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Volumentrend
$2.8M2. Juli7T Daten8. Juli
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If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- “Dropped out” means any of the following: Graham Platner announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign Graham Platner files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities Graham Platner publicly states they are no longer seeking the office Graham Platner endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running Graham Platner is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal
- The following do NOT constitute dropping out: Losing a primary or election Failing to qualify for debates or ballots Temporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing Being eliminated through the normal election process Reducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate
- Key provisions: Once someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter “Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless Graham Platner explicitly states they remain a candidate For primary races, dropping out of the presidential race entirely counts as dropping out of that party’s primary Withdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot
- If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.