KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
MiniMax 2%Führend unter 13 Optionen
MiniMax 2%Marktqualitat
41 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
5261,7 €
Liquidität
5261,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
25. Sept. 26, 16:00 UTC2. Okt. 26, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will an open-source AI model top the LMSYS Leaderboard at the end of 2026?
FutuurOpen Source market share on Sep 26th
KalshiWill OpenAI release another open source LLM before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4)
Manifold MarketsWill open-source AI win? (through 2028)
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Kimi is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 2, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Artificial Analysis - Open Source
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
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- If GLM is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 2, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.