Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Aug 2026?
1.0 Pkt. (24h)RegulierungOne-OffTrade PolicyPolitikUS PoliticsWahl10T
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 58%
Marktqualitat
60 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
443,9 €
Liquidität
1516,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
42.0% / 45.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
1. Aug. 26, 14:001. Sept. 26, 3:59
Trends
Regeln
If the President announces a new trade deal before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:New York TimesBloombergthe White Housethe Office of the United States Trade RepresentativeReutersAssociated Pressthe President of the United States
- For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
- Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
- Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
- It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
- New arrangements include, but are not limited to:
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Aug 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 58% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Aug 2026? entschieden?
- Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Aug 2026? soll am 1. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Aug 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the President announces a new trade deal before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
