KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jul 1, 2027 21%
Before Jul 1, 2027 21%Marktqualitat
62 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
828,2 €
Open Interest
6124 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
20. Okt. 26, 01:30 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jul 1, 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?
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PolymarketRegeln
If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave all political office in Israel or has actually left all political office in Israel before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Benjamin NetanyahuPrime Minister's Office of IsraelThe KnessetLikudReutersAssociated PressThe New York Times
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes. "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement. "All political office in Israel" means every one of the following: Benjamin Netanyahu's seat in the Knesset, the office of Prime Minister and any other ministerial post, and the leadership of the Likud party. An announcement or departure covering only some of these does NOT count. An announcement that he will leave more than a year after the announcement, such as at the end of a rotation or unity-government term, does NOT count. An announcement does NOT count if, in the same announcement, he says he will seek or accept another political office, including the presidency of Israel.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave all political office in Israel or has actually left all political office in Israel before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave all political office in Israel or has actually left all political office in Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.