KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Warner, 7+ pts · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Warner, 7+ pts 94.7%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Warner, 7+ pts 94.7%Marktqualitat
30 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
2,5 €
Open Interest
492,7 €
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Warner, 7+ ptsSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
28. Apr. 26, 01:03 UTC3. Nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Warner, 7+ pts
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed. If the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Warner, 7+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Warner, 9+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Warner, 13+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Warner, 11+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Warner, 17+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Warner, 15+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Warner, 19+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Warner, 21+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Warner, 23+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Warner, 25+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Warner, 27+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Warner, 29+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 29 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Warner, 31+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 31 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
