KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitRepublicans, 3+ pts 73%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
43 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
878 €
Liquidität
1630,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
54.0% / 61.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
5. Mai 26, 20:243. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Republicans, 6+ pts57%
Volumentrend
$1.0k7. Juli5T Daten29. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Texas Senate margin of victory
3271,1 €Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 34%KALSHI
KALSHIIdaho Senate margin of victory
3183 €Republicans, 31+ pts: 20%KALSHI
KALSHIMichigan's 3rd District margin of victory
1404,8 €Democrats, 10+ pts: 77%KALSHI
KALSHIGeorgia Senate margin of victory
1174,7 €Democrats, 10+ pts: 33%KALSHI
KALSHIKansas Senate margin of victory
1159,8 €Republicans, 9+ pts: 40%KALSHI
KALSHIColorado's 4th District margin of victory
705,9 €Democrats, 7+ pts: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 2nd District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.