KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democrats, 39+ pts 99%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
43 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
2268,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
4.6 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
5. Mai 26, 20:21 UTC3. Nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 3rd District by 39 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory?
- Kalshi bewertet Democrats, 39+ pts mit 99% (Stand: 12. September 2026).
- Wann wird Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory entschieden?
- Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory soll am 3. November 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 3rd District by 39 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.