KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 20, 2029 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 20, 2029 40%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Before Jan 20, 2029 40%Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
396,1 €
Open Interest
43.307,9 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Jan 20, 2029Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
15. Okt. 26, 14:28 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 20, 2029
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
France declares state of siege (martial law) by which date?
PolymarketWill any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsTrump declares nationwide martial law?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
Manifold MarketsMartial Law declared in USA by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump impose term limits on Congress?
KalshiRegeln
If martial law has been imposed in the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:the Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCThe New York TimesBloomberg NewsNBC
- For the purposes of this market, ‘martial law’ shall mean the suspension of civil authority and the imposition of military control over designated regions as declared by the President of the United States or Congress. The Payout Criterion does not include mere designation of military control over a specific property, such as for the opening of a new military base.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If martial law has been imposed in the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If martial law has been imposed in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If martial law has been imposed in the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.