KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAt least 1 99%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
62 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2230,4 €
Liquidität
16.137,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
17.0% / 20.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
14. Juli 26, 19:301. Aug. 26, 3:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
At least 817%
Volumentrend
$2.5k2. Juli21T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
209.009,3 €Ja: 22%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
150.959,5 €December 31: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
105.724,9 €August 31: 54%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will Trump say during his meeting with Netanyahu?
3822,8 €Ceasefire: 41%KALSHI
KALSHI
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
2735,1 €$0 / No Acquisition: 83%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1145,3 €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If above 0 federal judges are confirmed in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The positions that are eligible for inclusion are:
- Supreme Court justices Court of Federal Claims judges U.S.
- Court of Appeals judges U.S.
- District Court (including territorial courts) judges
- Judges for the following courts are NOT included: