How many Israeli elections until a government forms?
33.0 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffSchachWahlSport4Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
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Gespeicherter Preis
1 46%Führend unter 5 Optionen
1 46%Marktqualitat
36 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
830,9 €
Open Interest
2005,4 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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1Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
28. Aug. 26, 22:00 UTC9. März 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · 1
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketRegeln
If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 1 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Count nationwide Knesset elections actually held, beginning with the next election after issuance. Each election counts once, including repeat elections held before a new government is formed. Scheduled or cancelled elections, local elections, and separate voting phases of the same election do not count separately. A new government is formed when the Knesset expresses confidence in it. The count stops at the first such vote after the first counted election, or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first. A coalition agreement, presidential assignment, or continuation of the outgoing government does not end the count. If no new government has formed by the cutoff, count elections held through the cutoff. If no election is held, all listed markets resolve No. Use the Central Elections Committee’s official election records and the Knesset’s official government-formation record.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- 1
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 1 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 2 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 3 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is at least 5 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 4 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.