How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahl8T
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
At least 2 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
At least 2 96%Führend unter 8 Optionen
At least 2 96%Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
44,6 €
Open Interest
2066,6 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
At least 2Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
7. Juli 26, 17:00 UTC3. Nov. 26, 14:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · At least 2
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties in 2026?
KalshiWhich States will elect opposite parties for Governor and Senate in the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Ohio elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItWill Texas elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItWill Iowa elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItWill Alaska elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItRegeln
If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot, a candidate is treated as the nominee of the party they are listed on the ballot as preferring. Candidates elected as independents or without a party nomination are considered a different party from any party nominee.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- At least 2
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 2, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 4, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 6
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 6, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 7
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 7, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 8, then the market resolves to Yes.
