How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties in 2026?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahl8T
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 12:48 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
4 · —
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Gespeicherter Preis
4 22.5%Führend unter 7 Optionen
4 22.5%Marktqualitat
38 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
3973,6 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
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4Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert9. Juni 26, 20:00 UTC3. Nov. 26, 14:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · 4
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
KalshiWhich States will elect opposite parties for Governor and Senate in the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Ohio elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItWill Iowa elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItWill Alaska elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItWill Texas elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItRegeln
If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is exactly 4, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot, a candidate is treated as the nominee of the party they are listed on the ballot as preferring. Candidates elected as independents or without a party nomination are considered a different party from any party nominee.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- 4
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is exactly 4, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is exactly 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is above 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is exactly 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 0
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is exactly 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1
- If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
