KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 74%+5.0pt
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
177,2 €
Liquidität
1037,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
74.0% / 78.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
4. Sept. 26, 16:03 UTC11. Sept. 26, 13:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will be the generic ballot on election day 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a polling error of at least 5% in the 2026 generic ballot polling?
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KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRegeln
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 5.6% at 10:00 AM ET on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:VoteHub
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/4-9/11)?
- Kalshi bewertet Yes mit 74% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/4-9/11) entschieden?
- Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/4-9/11) soll am 11. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/4-9/11) abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 5.6% at 10:00 AM ET on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.