KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAkoni 2%Führend unter 12 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
0,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 97.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
15. Mai 26, 22:001. Dez. 26, 15:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Akoni2%
Verwandte Märkte
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific this year?
40,8 €Genevieve: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
3,8 €Gonzalo: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
3623,2 €2: 63%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest monthly CO2 level at Mauna Loa in first half of 2026
849 €432 or less: 0.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf AI kills everyone, how will it do it?
117,1 €Engineered pandemic: 13.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050?
84,5 €Ja: 28.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Regeln
If a storm named Akoni is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026.
- If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then all markets resolve to No.
- If a storm named Ema is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Hone is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Iona is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.