What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
16.0 Pkt. (24h)One-OffWeather2Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Hanna 37.6%+16.0ptFührend unter 21 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
78 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
11.720,3 €
Liquidität
293.847,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
15. Mai 26, 22:00 UTC1. Dez. 26, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Where will it rain on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiHurricane Fay category?
KalshiWhat will happen in the rest of September? (20 mana bonus in description)
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If a storm named Arthur is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026.
- If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then all markets resolve to No. If a storm named Bertha is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Cristobal is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Dolly is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 25, 2026?
- Seattle+3.0pt98%
- Providence+30.0pt95%
- Boston+2.0pt72%
+25 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 163.231,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 155.347,8 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 25, 2026?
- 80° or below79.6%
- 81° to 82°12%
- 83° to 84°4.6%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 64.518,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 63.774,5 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 25, 2026?
- 69° to 70°44.3%
- 71° to 72°30.2%
- 67° to 68°17.9%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 38.131 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 37.717,7 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 25, 2026?
- 89° to 90°40.4%
- 87° to 88°26.6%
- 91° to 92°23.9%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 36.600 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 36.344,9 €
KALSHIHurricane Fay category?
- Category 1 or above-4.0pt10%
- Category 5 or above+7.0pt8%
- Category 2 or above-3.0pt4%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 45.778 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Madrid on September 26?
- 33°C+11.0pt42%
- 34°C-13.5pt42%
- 35°C-3.0pt10%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 26?
- Where will it rain on Sep 26, 2026?
- Where will it rain this weekend (Sep 26 - Sep 27)?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 25, 2026?
- Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 26?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 26?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 26?
- Precipitation in NYC in September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year??
- Kalshi bewertet Hanna mit 37.6% (Stand: 25. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? entschieden?
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? soll am 1. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a storm named Arthur is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.