KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2027 21%+1.0pt
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
7,8 €
Liquidität
9569,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
17.0% / 21.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
7. Juli 26, 16:37 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketNigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
Manifold MarketsJeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
KalshiAndy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?
KalshiShawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?
KalshiWill Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Nigel FarageThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersReform UKCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 1, 2027 mit 21% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? entschieden?
- Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.