KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 90%
Marktqualitat
69 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
63,8 €
Liquidität
34.459,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
28. Aug. 25, 20:45 UTC1. Aug. 99, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Year of Elon Musk's next visit to Russia
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk ever be President of the United States during his lifetime?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
If Elon Musk visits Mars before the earlier of his death or Aug 1, 2099, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt89.9%
- OpenAI-1.6pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 131.460,9 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No60.4%
- Yes39.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 103.607,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 27.913,7 €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-1.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+2.0pt18.6%
- Google-1.4pt5.9%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-8.0pt82%
- Above 9-49.0pt22%
- Above 10-20.0pt14%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,47%
- June 30,41%
- February 28,27%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 996.112,6 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.3pt59.6%
- SpaceX+0.5pt38.4%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 90% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? entschieden?
- Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? soll am 1. August 2099 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Elon Musk visits Mars before the earlier of his death or Aug 1, 2099, then the market resolves to Yes.