KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 62%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
12.104,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
37.0% / 38.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
24. Mai 25, 14:00 UTC1. Jan. 30, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
KalshiMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PolymarketWhat will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:USGS
Offene Märkte
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 22, 2026?
- Newark+59.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+95.0pt99%
- Philadelphia+11.0pt99%
+24 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 180.506,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 176.448,6 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 22, 2026?
- 77° to 78°56.7%
- 75° to 76°20.2%
- 79° to 80°19.2%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 52.366,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 50.875,4 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Wellington on September 23?
- 10°C+24.0pt38.8%
- 11°C-20.5pt36.7%
- 9°C+14.5pt17.4%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 34.788,4 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 22, 2026?
- 65° to 66°45.5%
- 63° to 64°22.3%
- 67° to 68°21.4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35.289,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 32.742,9 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 23?
- 29°C+10.5pt49%
- 28°C-7.0pt41.4%
- 27°C-1.0pt5.8%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Highest temperature in London on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 22, 2026?
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 23?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 62% (Stand: 22. September 2026).
- Wann wird 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? entschieden?
- 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.