KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Celina Leão 70%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat
27 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
165,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
9.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
5. Sept. 26, 02:30 UTC25. Okt. 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Federal District Governor Election Winner
PolymarketWill Brazil's federal government meet its primary fiscal surplus target in 2026?
FutuurFederal District Senate Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District
PolymarketBrazil Presidential election winner?
Kalshi🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Arruda wins the 2026 Brazilian Federal District gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
- If Cappelli wins the 2026 Brazilian Federal District gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 Brazilian Federal District gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Elisson wins the 2026 Brazilian Federal District gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Brazil Federal District Governor winner??
- Kalshi bewertet Celina Leão mit 70% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Brazil Federal District Governor winner? entschieden?
- Brazil Federal District Governor winner? soll am 25. Oktober 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Brazil Federal District Governor winner? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Arruda wins the 2026 Brazilian Federal District gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.