KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Climate (99%)
Entschieden: 28.07.2026, 01:48
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
Climate
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
—
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitClimate 99%Führend unter 17 Optionen
Marktqualitat
41 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
163.536,4 €
Liquidität
138.567,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 100.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet27. Juli 26, 18:3028. Juli 26, 1:15
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
Fraud17%
Climate99%
Zohran / Mamdani3%
Socialist / Socialism99%
Trump (8+ times)74%
Ballroom10%
Obama32%
AIPAC76%
ICE99%
Data Center99%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline64%
Corrupt / Corruption70%
Israel / Israeli0%
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement66%
Billionaire0%
Event does not qualify0%
1%
1%
99%
1%
99%
99%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Volumentrend
$186.1k27. Juli2T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
659,1 €Ja: 90%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?
145,2 €Ja: 13.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which of Ars Technica's Starship timeline predictions will be accurate?
43,9 €In-space second stage raptor relight in Q4 2024 or Q1 2025: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
0 €Ja: 20%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
0 €Ja: 37%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?
0 €Ja: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Michigan Democratic U.S.
- Senate debate originally scheduled for July 27th, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Michigan Democratic U.S.
- Senate debate originally scheduled for July 27th, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.