KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 91%
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
0,1 €
Liquidität
10.262,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
7.6% / 8.9%
Spread
1.3 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
21. Nov. 24, 15:00 UTC20. Jan. 29, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
KalshiWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
KalshiWhat percent of Project 2025 will be accomplished by the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill TSLA reach $500 during Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill a significant number of Palestinians from Gaza be permanently resettled in Egypt and/or Jordan under Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the U.S. adds a new constitutional amendment before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 294.676,9 €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.319,2 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term? entschieden?
- Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term? soll am 20. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the U.S. adds a new constitutional amendment before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.