KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Oct 1, 2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Oct 1, 2027 92%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Before Oct 1, 2027 92%Marktqualitat
51 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
178,2 €
Open Interest
5956,1 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Oct 1, 2027Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
12. Okt. 26, 17:30 UTC1. Okt. 27, 14:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Oct 1, 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Pete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.
Manifold MarketsWhen will Pete Buttigieg announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Buttigieg win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Buttigieg run for President in 2028
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItRegeln
If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Feb 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Dec 1, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
