KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 09.09.2026, 00:20 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before July, 2028 25%
Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
99,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
20.0% / 27.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
1. Juli 26, 02:27 UTC1. Juli 28, 03:59 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiBlue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
PolymarketWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?
Manifold MarketsWill the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling Blue Origin's Human Landing System before 2029?
Manifold MarketsAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketRegeln
If Blue Origin launches New Shepard After issuance and before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin launches New Shepard After issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 103.065,4 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57.371,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 57.371,5 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 817.857 €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard?
- Kalshi bewertet Before July, 2028 mit 25% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard entschieden?
- When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard soll am 1. Juli 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Blue Origin launches New Shepard After issuance and before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.