KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Magnitude of at least 6.6 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Magnitude of at least 6.6 83.5%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Magnitude of at least 6.6 83.5%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
241,1 €
Open Interest
262 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Magnitude of at least 6.6Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
10. Nov. 26, 04:59 UTC30. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Magnitude of at least 6.6
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
PolymarketWill there be an earthquake of magnitude >6.0 in the New Madrid Seismic Zone by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PolymarketWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of November?
PolymarketRegeln
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:United States Geological Survey (USGS)
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed on 2026-12-01 at 10:00:00-0500, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at that observation cutoff, use the first data available after the cutoff and by the Expiration Date. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, all contracts resolve to No.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 8.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 8.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 8.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 8.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.