KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Magnitude of at least 5.2 (99%)
Entschieden: 23.10.2026, 11:15
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Magnitude of at least 5.292%
Magnitude of at least 5.481%
Magnitude of at least 5.666%
Magnitude of at least 5.812%
Magnitude of at least 6.01%
Magnitude of at least 6.226%
Magnitude of at least 6.47%
Magnitude of at least 6.613%
Magnitude of at least 6.810%
Magnitude of at least 7.08%
Magnitude of at least 5.2Gewonnen
Vor Schließung: 98% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.4Verloren
Vor Schließung: 96% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.6Verloren
Vor Schließung: 90% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.6Verloren
Vor Schließung: 18% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.8Verloren
Vor Schließung: 1% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.4Verloren
Vor Schließung: 4% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.8Verloren
Vor Schließung: 2% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.0Verloren
Vor Schließung: 1% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.2Verloren
Vor Schließung: 1% ·
Magnitude of at least 7.0Verloren
Vor Schließung: 1% ·
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 25, 2026?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
PolymarketWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Kalshi8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
KalshiRegeln
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Magnitude of at least 5.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.