KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 4 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 4 54%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Before Jan 4 54%Marktqualitat
33 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
652,8 €
Open Interest
733 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Before Jan 4Spread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
4. Nov. 26, 22:30 UTC14. Nov. 26, 05:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 4
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will AP call the Mississippi Senate election?
KalshiWill Impostor Dan Sullivan finish third in the Alaska Senate election?
Manifold MarketsAlaska Senate election: number of rounds
KalshiWill the Fake Dan Sullivan Effect the Results of the Alaska Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AP call the NC-03 House election?
KalshiWhich party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:the Associated Press
- The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, or equivalent clear language indicating AP has determined the winner. The phrase "projected to win" alone is insufficient; it must be AP's clear election call. The call must appear on one of AP's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is its primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market resolves to Yes based on the call time. Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 4
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Jan 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 14
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 11
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 18
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 19
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 26
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
