KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJohn Mannion 92.2%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
2854,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
94.2% / 94.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
1. Juli 25, 21:003. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
John Mannion94%
Plattformen vergleichen· John Mannion
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 93% | — | 0 € | 31.669,6 € | vor 19 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 94% | — | 0 € | 2854,6 € | vor 19 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
NY-22 House Election Winner
3Mon
92.1%
7.9%
0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen11.831 €
24h-Volumen0 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the House member sworn in for NY-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for NY-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$2.3k88.6%POLYMARKETWill the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat? — YesSitsToPeevor 11 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat? — YesSitsToPeevor 11 TagenVolumentrend
$917. Juli5T Daten23. Juli
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If the House member sworn in for NY-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for NY-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.