PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitRepublican Party 65%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
14 €
Liquidität
17.331,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
64.0% / 65.0%
Spread
1.6%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-0.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
28. Jan. 26, 21:433. Nov. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Republican Party65%
Plattformen vergleichen· Republican Party
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 65% | — | 14 € | 17.331,5 € | vor 6 Minuten | |
 KalshiAktivste60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 63% | — | 77,8 € | 6324 € | vor 1 Minute | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
NY-01 House winner?
3.0%1J
-3.0%63%
34%
60 • Mittlere QualitätMittlerer SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen13.878,8 €
24h-Volumen77,8 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$162. Juli9T Daten10. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.