KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDerek Tran 80.8%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
11.859,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
78.0% / 84.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
1. Juli 25, 14:003. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Derek Tran80%
Plattformen vergleichen· Derek Tran
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 87% | — | 217,9 € | 26.541,8 € | vor 17 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 80% | — | 0 € | 11.859,3 € | vor 17 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
CA-45 House Election Winner
1.0 pts3Mon
87%
-1.0pt13%
0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
69 • Mittlere QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen13.459,2 €
24h-Volumen217,9 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$1053. Juli10T Daten26. Juli
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If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.