KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDerek Tran 80.8%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
11.855 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
78.0% / 84.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
1. Juli 25, 14:003. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Derek Tran80%
Plattformen vergleichen· Derek Tran
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 87% | — | 217,9 € | 25.011,6 € | vor 9 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 80% | — | 0 € | 11.855 € | vor 9 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
CA-45 House Election Winner
1.0 pts3Mon
87%
-1.0pt13%
0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
69 • Mittlere QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen13.454,3 €
24h-Volumen217,9 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$1053. Juli10T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
999.459,8 €Kamala Harris: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
308.778,8 €Gadi Eizenkot: 52%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
133.136,1 €Nicolás Maduro: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
52.078,9 €Larry Rhoden: 96%KALSHI
KALSHI
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
49.731,5 €Perry Johnson: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Trump out as President by July 31?
30.157,8 €Ja: 0%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRegeln
If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.