KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitRandy Villegas 80.2%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
26.471,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
80.0% / 82.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
1. Juli 25, 14:003. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Randy Villegas81%
Plattformen vergleichen· Randy Villegas
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 81% | — | 0 € | 26.471,6 € | vor 13 Minuten | |
 Polymarket60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 84% | — | 0 € | 8687,3 € | vor 13 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
CA-22 House Election Winner
0.5 pts3Mon
85.7%
-0.5pt14.3%
0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen6388,7 €
24h-Volumen0 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the House member sworn in for CA-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$1.8k18.0%KALSHIRandy Villegas — Novor 7 Tagen
KALSHIRandy Villegas — Novor 7 TagenVolumentrend
$55. Juli12T Daten25. Juli
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If the House member sworn in for CA-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.