GeminiKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democratic Party 57.8%Margenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
87,1 €
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntGeld / Brief
59.0% / 60.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadTrader
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
23. Dez. 25, 16:08 UTC1. Feb. 27, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Michigan
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 U.S. Senate Election in Oregon?
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KalshiOhio Senate Election Winner
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
- This contract resolves based on whether the the named outcome controls the U.S. Senate following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
- Control is defined as holding the most seats in the Senate based on final, official results.
- A majority consists of at least 51 seats.
- If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government, including consideration of the Vice President’s tie-breaking role.
- Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
4 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für Democratic Party liegt bei 60%. Die Kurse liegen rund 2 Prozentpunkte auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz Democratic Party 60% · 4 Plattformen · 2 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Which party will win the Senate in 2026? · Democratic Party 61%
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. Senate? · Democratic Party 58%
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Which party will win the Senate in 2026? · Democratic Party 61%
Offene Märkte
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
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- 24h-Volumen
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- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 615,5 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
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POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which party will win the U.S. Senate??
- Gemini bewertet Democratic Party mit 58% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which party will win the U.S. Senate? entschieden?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate? soll am 1. Februar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which party will win the U.S. Senate? abgerechnet?
- Gemini rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
- Wo wird Which party will win the U.S. Senate? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Limitless, Kalshi, Polymarket gelistet.