GeminiEingeschränkte verifizierte DatenWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 27.07.2026, 04:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore Jul 1, 2027 41.5%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
46 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
41.0% / 42.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
16. Juli 26, 20:401. Juli 27, 4:01
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before Jul 1, 202742%
Verwandte Märkte
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
73,1 €Ja: 10%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
46,9 €Ja: 17%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the SAVE Act become law?
156,1 €SAVE Act becomes law?: 7.5%GEMINI
GEMINI
Presidential Election Winner 2028?
103,5 €JD Vance: 18.5%GEMINI
GEMINI
Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?
4,4 €Todd Blanche: 85.5%GEMINI
GEMINI
Will the Trump family acquire a stake in Binance by the end of 2026?
0 €Ja: 21.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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When will Samuel Alito retire as a Justice of the U.S.
- Supreme Court?
- This market will resolve to YES if Samuel Alito retires as a justice of the U.S.
- Supreme Court before Jul 1, 2027.
- The outcome will be verified using statements from Samuel Alito or the Supreme Court, and reporting from Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, and The Washington Post.
- Resolution is based on the effective date of the resignation.