KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jul 1, 2027 20%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
69 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
121,5 €
Liquidität
356.076,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
17. Feb. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
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PolymarketWill any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
KalshiAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Samuel AlitoSupreme CourtPoliticoReutersthe Associated Pressthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington Post
- The resolution is based on the effective date of the resignation.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Gemini — When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? · Before Jul 1, 2027 19%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jul 1, 2027 mit 20% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? entschieden?
- When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Gemini gelistet.