KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jul 1, 2027 37%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Before Jul 1, 2027 37%Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
5282,2 €
Open Interest
433.849,3 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
17. Feb. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Before Sep 1, 2026Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jul 1, 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Justice Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the Supreme Court?
FutuurAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketRegeln
If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Samuel AlitoSupreme CourtPoliticoReutersthe Associated Pressthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington Post
- The resolution is based on the effective date of the resignation. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.