Warnung zur DatenqualitätNicht aussagekräftig bepreist
Daten vom 20.09.2026, 21:10 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Michael Baumgartner 84.5%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntGeld / Brief
84.0% / 85.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadTrader
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
24. Aug. 26, 12:48 UTC10. Nov. 26, 01:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Washington-05?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. House election in WA-05, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 615,5 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Washington-05 House Winner?
- Gemini bewertet Michael Baumgartner mit 85% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Washington-05 House Winner entschieden?
- Washington-05 House Winner soll am 10. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Washington-05 House Winner abgerechnet?
- Gemini rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Washington-05?