FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 94%
Nein 94%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
851,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
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Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro return to Brazil by the end of 2026?
FutuurFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
PolymarketWill Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
KalshiWill Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsArrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026?
FutuurWill any member of Bolsonaro entourage be charged for taking bribes from the Saudis before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This event predicts whether Eduardo Bolsonaro will be arrested at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, an “arrest” means physical detention by law enforcement authorities with the intent to hold him in custody (in Brazil or any other country).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official confirmation from competent law enforcement or judicial authorities (e.g., official statements, court records, or custody documentation).
- If Eduardo Bolsonaro is arrested (as defined above) during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Detentions during routine questioning at a border/airport, or other temporary holds that do not escalate into an arrest, will not qualify.