FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 14%Führend unter 3 Optionen
December 31 14%Marktqualitat
25 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1084 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
20
Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Iran Nuclear Deal be revived under Iran's new president Masoud Pezeshkian?
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KalshiTrump out as President before 2027?
LimitlessRegeln
This event predicts whether Masoud Pezeshkian will cease to hold the office of President of the Islamic Republic of Iran on or before the dates listed in the markets.
- For this event, “out of office” means that Masoud Pezeshkian no longer holds the position of President due to resignation, removal, impeachment, death, incapacity resulting in permanent replacement, or replacement through any other constitutional or political process recognized by Iranian authorities.
- Temporary absences from duty, delegation of presidential powers, or short-term incapacity do not qualify if he remains the official holder of the office.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or records from the Government of Iran confirming that another person has assumed the presidency or that Masoud Pezeshkian has formally left office.
- If official records are delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable international news organizations reporting that he has ceased to be President of Iran.
- Resolution will be based on the substantive status of the officeholder, not technicalities of announcement timing or wording.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Masoud Pezeshkian out by...? · December 31 9%