LimitlessVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 96.2%
Nein 96.2%Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
186,2 €
Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
20. Jan. 26, 18:17 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiNicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?
PolymarketGianni Infantino out as President of FIFA in 2026
KalshiClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by which date?
PolymarketJoseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
PolymarketWill Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify.
- Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die plattformübergreifende Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für CoinRithm-Referenz liegt bei 4%.
CoinRithm-Referenz 4% · 2 Plattformen · 0 Pkt. Venue-Spanne