Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 67%
Nein 67%Marktqualitat
30 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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This market resolves on whether the Antarctic ozone hole is larger in 2027 than in 2026, measured by NASA Ozone Watch's mean ozone hole area for September 7 to October 13 of each year.
- The ozone layer reaches its seasonal low in this window, and NASA typically posts the season's statistics shortly after it ends.
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- If the mean Southern Hemisphere ozone hole area for the September 7 to October 13, 2027 period, as published by NASA Ozone Watch in its annual ozone hole statistics, is larger than the same mean for September 7 to October 13, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Only these two seasonal means count; daily values, single-day maximums and other periods are not taken into account.
- The Primary Designated Source is NASA Goddard's Ozone Watch annual data table (ozonewatch.gsfc.nasa.gov/statistics/annual_data.html).
