FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 80%
Nein 80%Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
1289,1 €
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[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?
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PolymarketRegeln
This event predicts whether the membership (composition) of the Supreme Court of the United States will change at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, a “change in composition” means that at least one Justice leaves the Court (e.g., resignation, retirement, death) and/or at least one new Justice is sworn in to fill a seat.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements and records from the Supreme Court of the United States regarding its membership (e.g., official website communications) and the official record of any swearing-in.
- If at least one Justice leaves the Court and/or at least one new Justice is sworn in during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary changes due to recusals or other temporary absences will not count.