Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
0.1 puan (24s)JeopolitikOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3ay
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≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
5 Kas 25 18:06 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
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FutuurKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede de facto control of all major cities under their control in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
- The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty.