PolymarketKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa kapandı ve doğrulanmış sonucu bekliyor.
Doğrulanmış sonuç bekleniyor
CoinRithm bu piyasayı sonuçlanmış saymadan önce sağlayıcı onaylı sonucu bekler.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
9 Eyl 2026 01:56 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
September 15 100%+57.0pt
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺894,2 B
Likidite
₺2,8 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlış / Satış
99.1% / 100.0%
Spread
0.9 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Eyl 26 14:59 UTC30 Eyl 26 23:59 UTC
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
September 15100%
September 30100%
100%
100%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Iran target Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Qatar by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketWill a significant number of Palestinians from Gaza be permanently resettled in Egypt and/or Jordan under Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsJordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030
Manifold MarketsJordan Peterson becomes a Roman Catholic (ends 2030)
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Jordan.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.