Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
1.1% (24s)JeopolitikOne-OffMiddle East5g
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkUnited States 12%-3.0%8 seçenek arasında lider
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73 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
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₺6,8 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
0.4% / 0.8%
Spread
100.0%
Geniş spread7g Değişim
-1.8%
Piyasa verileri
5 dakika önce guncellendi
1 Tem 26 22:3531 Tem 26 23:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
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United States12%
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$9.7k2 Tem25g veri26 Tem
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
- Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
- For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman.
- Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.