Manifold MarketsKYC yokGüncel topluluk tahminiMarch 13 0%10 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
28
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Mar 26 1:011 Oca 27 0:58
Trendler
0%
0%
Seçilen sonuç
June 308%
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Iran leadership change by...?
0.2%6ay
+1.0%30%
+0.2%5%
0%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
73 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺799,9 Mn
24s Hacim₺2,8 Mn
POLYMARKETKurallar
Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.