Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
16 Tem 2026 08:40 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-2
Güncel topluluk tahminiMarch 13 0%10 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
29
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Mar 26 1:011 Oca 27 0:58
Trendler
0%
0%
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
June 301%
Platformları karşılaştır· Dec 31
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Iran leadership change by which date?
2.0%5ay
-2.0%39%
-5.0%23%
-5.0%12%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
89 • Yüksek kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺986,1 Mn
24s Hacim₺11,7 Mn
POLYMARKET
Futuur üzerinde de mevcut
Iran leadership change by which date?
5ay
30%
5%
4%
28 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim₺19,1 B
24s Hacim₺0
FUTUURKurallar
Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.