Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiDec 31 14%10 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
31
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-1.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Mar 26 01:01 UTC1 Oca 27 00:58 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Iran leadership change by which date?
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Manifold MarketsUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Futuur üzerinde de mevcut — Iran leadership change by...? · December 31 23%
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Iran leadership change by...? · June 30, 2027 29%
Sık sorulan sorular
- Iran leadership change by which date? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Dec 31 için 14% fiyatlıyor.
- Iran leadership change by which date? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Iran leadership change by which date? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Iran leadership change by which date? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Iran leadership change by which date? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Futuur, Polymarket.