FutuurKullanılabilirliği kontrol etDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiGüncel ima edilen olasılık
December 31 20%3 seçenek arasında lider
December 31 20%Piyasa kalitesi
25 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺54,7 B
Düşük likiditeİşlemciler
16
Yorumlar
1
Piyasa verileri
2 dakika önce güncellendi
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketKurallar
This event predicts whether Mojtaba Khamenei will cease to act as the de facto leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran at any point between the creation of this event and the date specified in each market (the “Event Period”).
- For this event, Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to have ceased to be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses the ability to exercise the authority associated with the country’s supreme leadership position.
- If Mojtaba Khamenei ceases to act as the de facto leader of Iran at any time before the deadline of a given market, that market will resolve to “Yes”.
- If he remains the de facto leader through that deadline, the market will resolve to “No”.
- An official announcement confirming Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation, removal, or loss of authority will qualify for a “Yes” resolution even if the effective date of the change occurs later.
- Temporary absences, short-term incapacitation, or delegation of authority that does not permanently remove him from leadership will not qualify.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Iran leadership change by...? · June 30, 2027 30%
- Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut — Iran leadership change by...? · Dec 31 14%