Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
0.8 puan (24s)JeopolitikOne-OffRussia / Ukraine1ay
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 96%+0.8pt
Piyasa kalitesi
70 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺18,3 B
Likidite
₺648,3 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
3.8% / 5.0%
Spread
1.2 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
-0.1 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
26 Ağu 26 21:43 UTC1 Kas 26 03:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
PolymarketWhat will be included in the Iran-US peace deal?
Manifold MarketsWhat lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries
Manifold MarketsRussia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026?
FutuurKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
PolymarketKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
- Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
- The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative.
- Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.