Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in October 2026?
JeopolitikOne-OffTeknolojiRussia / Ukraine1ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 89.4%
Tahminciler
9
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis24 Ağu 26 09:30 UTC31 Eki 26 23:59 UTC
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Resolves based on the "Russian Net Monthly Advance" report of Black Bird group (positive values resolve NO, negative resolve YES) - typically published at their X account (xcancel.com/Black_BirdGroup).
- Here is their assessment as of May 2026 (from https://xcancel.com/Black_BirdGroup/status/2062585511340916856):
- [image]For context some analysts like Mike Kofman (e.g. in https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-long-game-with-jake-sullivan-and-jon-finer/id1850526014?i=1000771130026) believe that Ukraine has gained initiative on the battlefield and is likely to keep it for the next few months.
- If the group does not publish a new assessment following the same methodology by December 1st, this resolves NA
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in October 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 89% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in October 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in October 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Ekim 2026.
- Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in October 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves based on the "Russian Net Monthly Advance" report of Black Bird group (positive values resolve NO, negative resolve YES) - typically published at their X account (xcancel.com/Black_BirdGroup).