PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Rebeca Grynspan 39.8%8 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺4,1 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
0.4 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
2
7g Değişim
+0.3 pts
Piyasa verileri
13 dakika önce güncellendi
21 Nis 26 18:21 UTC31 Ara 26 00:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill the next secretary general of the United Nations be bald?
Manifold MarketsWho will be selected the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
PredictItWhat will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiWhat will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiKurallar
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution.
- Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? · Rebeca Grynspan 33%
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No84.2%
- Yes15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,4 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-0.5pt78.8%
- New People (NL)+0.1pt17.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.5pt67%
- October 31+3.5pt41%
- September 30+10.5pt30%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt26%
- October 31-2.0pt20%
- September 30-4.5pt9%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+20.5pt68%
- September 30+19.0pt48%
- September 21+24.0pt47%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+7.0pt92%
- September 18+8.5pt89%
- September 4+13.0pt87%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Next Secretary-General of the United Nations için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 12 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Rebeca Grynspan için 40% fiyatlıyor.
- Next Secretary-General of the United Nations ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Next Secretary-General of the United Nations için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Next Secretary-General of the United Nations nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- Next Secretary-General of the United Nations başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Kalshi.