PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
December 31, 8%-2.8pt5 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
62 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺53,4 B
Likidite
₺823,4 B
Orta likiditeSpread
2.4 pt
Orta spreadYorumlar
47
7g Değişim
-0.3 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 dakika önce güncellendi
24 Kas 25 18:27 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Hezbollah disarm by which date?
PolymarketHezbollah disarms by EOY 2026?
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PolymarketWho will be the next UN Secretary-General?
KalshiRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWhich Regional Group will the next UN Secretary-General come from?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.