Next Russia-Ukraine senior diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiJeopolitikRusya / Ukrayna1ay
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13 Kas 2026 16:00 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a direct or indirect senior-level diplomatic meeting between Russia and Ukraine between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation.
- A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, prisoner exchange, or further engagement.
- A meeting qualifies regardless of its subject matter, including meetings limited to humanitarian issues (e.g., prisoner exchanges, the return of civilians or children, or humanitarian pauses), whether or not broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar, are discussed.
- A diplomatic meeting is senior-level if each listed entity is represented by a head of state, a head of government, or a vice president; a foreign minister; a minister of cabinet rank; the secretary or head of a national security council; the presiding officer of a national legislature; a special envoy; or another individual designated by the head of state or head of government to conduct diplomatic negotiations on their behalf.