Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiDecember 31 10.7%-0.3pt4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
15
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-2.6 pts
Piyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
16 May 26 16:14 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Dec 31? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRussia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description)
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PolymarketKurallar
Follows resolution of https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine goes into effect by 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET) on the specified date and remains continuously in effect for at least 10 calendar days.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A ceasefire refers to any mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries, and which constitutes a general suspension of direct kinetic military engagement across the primary theater of the overall conflict.
- A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause (including holiday ceasefires) will count provided they otherwise qualify under this market’s rules.
- Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire.
- Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? · December 31, 69%
Sık sorulan sorular
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla December 31 için 11% fiyatlıyor.
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Follows resolution of https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine goes into effect by 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET) on the specified date and remains continuously in effect for at least 10 calendar days.
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Polymarket.